Michael Crichton is coming to Washington, DC, in November. I hear that he's a good speaker and with his new book out entitled State of Fear, this should be an excellent talk. His book is about how current science exaggerates the fears and that we, the public, have to be careful how much we trust the current predictions.
Frankly, I've never give much credence to predictions. Not that it can't be done, but when it comes to issues like global warming, I think we need more data relative to the age of the earth. I think it was Niels Bohr who said: "Prediction is hard, especially about the future."
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